Off-ball movement is definitely a problem in itself, but it's very much connected to another aspect of our general expression out there, which is that in our short passing game, we play completely without courage (to recapitulate Guardiola's point in that clip from City's dressing room).
First and foremost, off-the ball movement is an issue if you're not available. There are so many moments where we have players, who albeit still-standing, actually are available to receive a short progessive pass. But because the pass is a little bit risky or because it will put the player under a bit of pressure, we opt for the safe option. Falling into this mindset has sort of a self-sustaining effect to it.
Very rarely so. It's not generally true that we have many moments when pass is available but we lack players to make it. Basically, it's not great service that we're lacking. What we're lacking is teammate access. A player like Arthur or Semedo carrying the ball simply does not have viable passing options because we have some grade A lazy players who just stopped giving any shit when there is an opponent willing to dig very deep and give extra effort. Every time the other team ups the intensity, some of our senior players just go missing in a shameful way. Main culprits are Suarez, Messi, and Busi.
Because we so rarely play the ballsy short passes, players don't bother moving for them. Even worse, players aren't even on their toes ready to receive it. When we do play it and the player who receives it is put under immediate pressure, the movement around him happens way too late because everyone were expecting the safe pass.
In coherent teams, this subsequent movement from the 3rd person happens proactively and constantly. It's what makes the game flow when you watch teams like City. Ideally, when you receive the ball under pressure, you should already know your next move so you can execute it quickly before losing possession. This necessitates that your teammates anticipate the pass and move proactively.
We rarely play ballsy short passes because there is no movement to make those passes consistently manageable. Again, player quality is a non-issue. Best squad in the world probably atm. The big issue is not that we lack ballsy players to make those passes. It's that the attacking players have way too much freedom to do basically whatever they want. Messi and Suarez have too much freedom and Valverde is a total spineless clown for accepting their chaotic movement.
We rarely play the ballsy short pass -> nobody anticipates that we play the ballsy short pass -> nobody is bothered to be ready to receive the ballsy short pass -> nobody is ready to make proactive 3rd player runs to relieve pressure -> if we do make the ballsy short pass, we lose possession -> we stop playing the ballsy short pass
What are ballsy short passes? You mean passes that have maybe a 50-50 success rate? Those are ballsy passes? We are not equipped to deal with fast counters that might come from all of those failed passes. You're basically talking about the EPL style here. EPL teams have almost no risk-management tactics. Everything is ballsy as you say it. The solution is not to play ballsy passes. The solution is to move off the ball and make those passes look not that ballsy anymore.
The moment where it's most obvious that we suffer under this phenomenon is when we finally break it. This happens most frequently when Messi is on the ball. Suddenly we see the effect of the surrounding players actually anticipating the ballsy short pass. Because we know that Messi plays it. Suddenly we move. Suddenly paths open up, Messi slices the line, and boom, one or two other players have made 3rd man runs and are ready to link-up with the recipient. We need to have this mindset not only when Messi is on the ball, but all the fucking time.
Agree here. But then this is probably what is wanted. Or else, why would you allow Messi to drop deep and do that? It's obvious that when Messi drops deep he is passed to no matter what.
About your theory that there are passes that are available but somehow we lack courage, here is a full action build-up from the back up until the ball is lost. Now look at this and tell me if we're lacking ballsy passes or we're simply lacking support for the man on the ball.
Photo 1)
Pique has the ball and plays a simple, usual pass, to Semedo.
Photo2)
Semedo receives and goes forward a bit, trying to figure out what to do. He is not pressed initially.
Photo3)
There is a great pass option available down the line. But Messi and Suarez don't care. They aren't even facing the game. They walk. Messi in particular is walking with his face down as per the image.
It is especially interesting how easy it is to mark Messi. Here he is marked with 2 players, and only 1 player does tight marking. Another player just stands between the ball and Messi, basically hiding Messi from Semedo's vision with his cover shadow.
Players can mark Messi this way and still press the ball carrier. Basically it's a two man job that, if done right, has very very high chances of blocking Messi. Just watch him and stay in front of him. He will not move very fast, so it is not very hard to track his movement and place yourself in front of him. Very rarely will he move left and right to get out of this situation. If he, for some reason, does move, have another player nearby who can intervene.
Semedo sees he has no option and passes the ball to Arthur. Other option would've been to bomb the flank on his own dribbling 2-3 Sevilla players with ease. But this, sadly, isn't FIFA on semipro level.
Photo 4)
Arthur receives and does the same thing as Semedo. Looks up to see who can he play with. Now if someone could explain me, what pass is there in picture no4 and Arthur doesn't use it? Messi and Suarez are still not showing any intent in participating. Messi is even with his back to the ball carrier.
Ball is, logically, played to the open man, Alba.
Photo 5)
Here Alba doesn't see, or he is instructed not to be adventurous, that his marker has gone towards Coutinho too soon, basically allowing Alba to drift inside if possible. But Messi and Suarez are still not moving to help anyone.
Photo 6)
Now ball is very much isolated with Coutinho on the left sideline. At this point, even if they want in on the action Messi and Suarez can't participate. This allows Sevilla to lay off the marking on them and crowd the left side.
Photo 7)
Sevilla closes that zone, ball is played back in midfield, where Messi goes way back to receive the ball and try some fancy lofted ball which against serious teams has never worked in years.