Champions League 2017/18

Barcilliant

Senior Member
Unless Madrid have a real bad day Liverpool will be outclassed. Madrid can absorb pressure, counter attack,keep possession.... Etc. Liverpool are a one trick pony.

The Liverpool midfield will be run over. Madrid 5 Liverpool 1.

You heard it here first.
 

Joan

Well-known member
I don't know if anything's wrong with me but I feel calm about the final. Don't even care who wins it.
 

LosBlancos

New member
Law of Averages: the principle that supposes most future events are likely to balance any past deviation from a presumed average.

The law of averages does not apply here. The samples (in this case the games played) have no reason to approximate to the expected value because the model itself is incomplete. Even if it were complete, there is no reason to suspect trial k, or k+1 will produce an event that is unlikely (being loose here on what unlikely event is). A correct application of the law of averages is you know all the probabilities a priori and it itself is complete; lets say you know the random variable can take on 4 values with equal probability. In the first k trials, you have outcomes that do not agree with the perceived distribution. With n more trials, you might get something that agrees with the distribution just because that is your assumption in the distribution!

Gamblers can sometimes make this mistake in that assuming an outcome will happen soon just because it has not happened in previous trials.
 

draconifire

NTC with a Positive attitude
Congratulations to the RM fans in the house. We'll see you in CL next time, hopefully, we stay in the competition in order to knock you out, as there doesn't seem to be any that have the slightest cojones to do it.
Atleast we got our double.
 

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