We have 2 major changes from last season in Griez and FDJ. Messi is playing at a lower level and Suarez is out but IMO for CL Griez might prove to be more clutch.
Arthur as a mainstay in the midfield and Setien (if he doesn't devolve into EV 2.0) and I give us a fair shot (50-50 or more) in the QFs against anyone but Pool. There are some very flawed teams out there, just as us.
Don't think so. We lack speed up front big time. Messi's level is the killer. He's miles off what he showed last season.
Our best chance is if Setien improves our possession game so much compared to EV, that we manage to keep the ball and protect the bad defense we have. It sounds ugly, but keeping the ball is the best chance we have.
The best teams in CL are transition-beasts. All of them almost. If we suck that out of them, by not allowing them to recover the ball in good positions we have a shot. if we try to risk it too much, we'll lose the ball and will get butchered on the counters, because we lack the fitness and the energy to compete for the ball immediately after we lose it. We've improved this under Setien, but it's not good enough for the level of opposition we can meet from quarters up in CL.
We can't absorb pressure like EV tried to have us do, because we leak a lot of goals whenever pressed. Not to mention we are chaotic when we sit deep and defend. And we can't play end to end stuff because we are crap in transitions. What we can do is keep the ball and pass it a lot until we find safe openings, reducing the risks we have to take. For this we need good movement though. Which we also don't have.