I'll need to copy this post to my laptop because I'll need these stats every season, because some things never change and majority of people will never learn.
Anyway, since a lot of guys are mentioning how Puig, Alena, Oriol and now even Wague are our future and a stupid coach is not giving them too much time.
And how we should sell oldies (with which I agree) and play with THESE youngsters (lol, with which I surely don't agree)...
I have checked the last 20 years and ALL of our greatest youth prospects since 2000.
I have found 88 players in total and only 8 of them turned out to be good enough for Barca's starting 11.
Also, we had 56 players who played for Spanish youth or senior NT teams, and they weren't good enough for Barca.
Guys who were good enough for starters at Barca:
Cm Iniesta 2002, 45 youth NT matches, 131 SENIOR NT matches
Cm Thiago Alcantara 2009, 42 youth NT matches, 31 SENIOR NT matches
CB Pique 2008, 40 youth NT matches, 102 SENIOR NT matches
Cm Fabregas, 39 youth NT matches, 110 SENIOR NT matches
GK Valdes 2002, 26 youth NT matches, 20 senior matches
Rw Messi 2004, 23 youth NT matches, 129 SENIOR NT matches
Cdm Busquets 2008, 3 youth NT matches, 112 SENIOR NT matches
LW Pedro 2008, 2 youth NT matches, 64 SENIOR NT matches
Guys who didn't turn into starters for Barca, BUT WERE YOUTH NT Players for Spain:
Gk Pepe Reina 2000, 36 SENIOR NT matches, 33 youth NT matches
Lw Luis Garcia 2003, 20 SENIOR NT matches
Cf Nolito 2010, 16 SENIOR NT matches
Rw Deulofeu 2011, 87 youth NT matches, 4 SENIOR NT matches
Cf Abel Ruiz 2019, 50 youth NT matches
Cm Gabri 2000, 48 youth NT matches, 3 SENIOR matches
Rb Montoya 2011, 47 youth NT matches
Cf Bojan Krkic 2007, 41 youth NT matches,1 SENIOR NT match
Rb Sergi Roberto 2010, 39 youth NT matches, 5 SENIOR NT matches
Cb Sergi Gomez 2010, 39 youth NT matches
Cdm Oriol Romeu 2010, 39 youth NT matches
Cb Dani Tortolero 2002, 38 youth NT matches
Cb Bartra 2010, 37 youth NT matches, 14 SENIOR NT matches
Cf Sergio Garcia 2003, 36 youth NT matches, 2 senior NT matches
Lb Carles Planas 2012, 34 youth NT matches
Lb Cucurella 2018, 33 youth NT matches
Lb Pena 2005, 30 youth NT matches
Cf Jeffren 2008, 30 youth NT matches
Cb Muniesa 2009, 30 youth NT matches
Cb Botia 2009, 29 youth NT matches
Lw Nano 2000, 26 youth NT matches
Lw Tello 2011, 26 youth NT matches, 1 SENIOR NT match
Cf Sandro 2014, 26 youth NT matches
Cf Jonathan Soriano 2009, 25 youth NT matches
Cb Tarin 2018, 24 youth NT matches
Cb Mario 2003, 23 youth NT matches
Cm Samper 2014, 23 youth NT matches
Lb Grimaldo 2015, 21 youth NT matches
Cm Roberto Trashorras 2002, 20 youth NT matches
Cf Munir 2014, 20 youth matches
Lb David Bermudo 2001, 18 youth NT matches
Rw Adama 2013, 18 youth NT matches
Cam Sergio Santamaria 2000, 17 youth NT matches
Rw Carles Perez 2019, 17 youth NT matches
Cb Andreu Fontas 2009, 14 youth NT matches
Cb Borja Lopez 2016, 14 youth NT matches
Lb Fernando Navarro 2004, 12 youth NT matches, 2 senior NT matches
Rw Paco Montanes 2005, 12 youth NT matches
Rb Kiko Femenia 2013, 11 youth NT matches
Gk Masip 2014, 11 youth NT matches
Lm Jofre Mateu 2000, 10 youth NT matches
Cm Carbonell 2016, 10 youth NT matches
Cdm Sarsanedas 2019, 10 youth NT matches
Cb Jesus Olmo 2005, 8 youth NT matches
Lw Juan Camara 2016, 8 youth NT matches
Gk Ruben Martinez 2004, 4 youth NT matches
Cm David Sanchez 2002, 4 youth NT matches
Rw Cuenca 2011, 3 youth NT matches
Cm Joan Verdu 2004, 2 youth NT matches
Gk Ruben Mino 2010, 2 youth NT matches
Rb Palencia 2018, 2 youth NT matches
Dc Rodri 2004, 1 youth NT match
Rw Javito 2004, 1 youth NT match
Cm Jordi Gomez 2005, 1 youth NT match
Cam Victor Vasquez 2008, 1 youth NT match
Gk Oier 2008, 1 youth NT match
Edgar Ie 2015, 41 youth NT matches, 1 SENIOR NT match (Portugal)
Halilovic 2015, 40 youth NT matches, 9 SENIOR NT matches (Croatia)
Gio Dos Santos 2007, 23 youth NT matches, 106 SENIOR NT matches (Mexico)
Rafinha, 23 youth NT matches, 2 SENIOR NT matches (Brasil)
Gai Assulin 2009, 22 youth NT matches, 1 SENIOR NT match (Israel)
Marlon 2016, 12 youth NT matches (Brasil)
Cdm Diagne 2015, 9 youth NT matches, 2 SENIOR NT matches (Senegal)
Motta 2001, 3 youth NT matches, 2 SENIOR NT matches (Brasil)
Jonathan Dos Santos 2009, 0 youth NT matches, 40 SENIOR NT matches (Mexico)
Ondoa 2015, 0 youth NT matches, 38 SENIOR NT matches (Cameroon)
Cb Oleguer 2003, 167 matches for Barca
Gk Jorquera 2004, 24 matches for Barca
Dr Damia 2004, 9 matches for Barca
Cm Gumbau 2015, 9 matches for Barca
Lb Oscar Lopez 2003, 8 matches for Barca
Cdm Victor Sanchez 2008, 8 matches for Barca
Cf Arnaiz 2017, 5 match for Barca
Cm Kaptoum 2016, 3 matches for Barca
Cm Sylvestre, 2 matches for Barca
Cdm Xavi Torres, 2 matches for Barca
Cm Abraham, 2 matches for Barca
Cm Pitu 2005, 1 match for Barca
Rb Martos 2005, 1 match for Barca
Cm Ramon Maso 2005, 1 match for Barca
Cdm Ramon Ros 2003, 1 match for Barca
Cf Dongou 2013, 1 match for Barca
Total:
Starters: 8 players
Starters who made it through Barca: only 5 (Pique, Fabregas and Thiago had to leave a club)
NT players who didn't make it here: 57
Players who weren't NT players and didn't turn into starters + foreigners: 26
Players who made it from Barca B to Barca starting 11 through Barca: 5
Total number of Barca B prospects in the last 20 years who played for Barca and NT teams (all players mentioned above): 91
So, what do stats say?
What is a chance for the highest rated Barca B prospects to turn into Barca's starters=8/90=
8,9%
What is a chance for the highest rated Barca B prospects to turn into Barca's starters THROUGH Barca's team, without leaving a club=5/90=
5,6%
What is a chance for the highest rated Barca B players to not turn into players for Barca/Real/Bayern/City=82/90=
91%
From current youngsters:
Alena 33 youth NT matches
Oriol 27 youth NT matches
And a reason why I am sceptical is Riki Puig: with 0 youth NT matches, and he will be 20 in 3 Months.
For example:
Xavi 57 youth NT matches
Gabri 48 youth NT matches
Iniesta 45
Thiago 42
Fabregas 39
Oriol Romeu 39
Samper 23
Trashorras 20
Santamaria 17
Carbonell 10
Sarsanedas 10
---------------
Puig 0 youth NT matches
People often reply with Busi and Pedro.
But they were more like exceptions than rules.
Alena's chances to turn into a starter are around 5%.
Puig's are even lower due to youth NT matches stats.
Chances of BOTH Alena and Puig becoming starters are around 2/1000.
Chances of BOTH Alena, Puig and Oriol becoming starters is around 1/10 000.
Basically, you need 20 players like Alena, Puig, Oriol, Wague, Abel Ruiz and insert 15 similar players.
And stats say that ONLY ONE of them will turn into Barca's starter (through Barca's team, not being forced to leave).
People are replying to me for years: players are not numbers, each player is unique.
But we are going through the same shit every year:
BBZ: Bartra won't make it.
People: you are an idiot. You don't know anything about football.
Bartra eventually failed.
BBZ: Halilovic won't make it.
People: You are a moron.
Halilovic can't play in any 1st division team 4 years later.
BBZ: Adama is dumb.
People: You don't know shit about football.
BBZ: Samper won't make it.
People: You are an idiot. Why isn't this idiot already banned from this forum? I can't read his cancerous posts full of negativity.
Samper probably won't play any 1st division football in his career.
BBZ: Denise is too light for a modern football and she is probably the weakest player in our rooster.
People: You are an idiot and you don't know anything about football.
A few years later: Denise will probably quit professional football and turn into a fashion model.
I don't even want to mention crazy ideas like Dongou, Sandro Ramirez or Arnaiz (remember when people thought that he could actually be a useful player for Barca and people got mad if anyone questioned that idea
)
Anyway, my point is, majority of people here are too emotional.
And you are not assessing youth players with objectivity, but with pure emotions and with desperation for new gems and a brighter future.
I mean, I also want a brighter future, but that won't suddenly turn Puig into a new Iniesta.
Also, I see that people are mentioning Pep and Klopp all the time.
But each player's development is a mix of several different factors:
1. his natural talent (Gumbau won't turn into a new Xavi regardless of playing time and if he is coached by Lucho or Pep. He just sucks. Or Munir/Sandro. Even 10 Peps wouldn't turn them into Barca's level. Or Adama. Who can fix his IQ? No one)
2. playing time
3. a good coach
4. player's IQ, professionalism, work ethic (remember Deulofeu, Halilovic and similar)
5. injuries
6. mental strength (Bartra is too soft and scared. Samper is too soft and scared. Bojan has too fragile mentality etc)
So, some posts sounds as if: if Klopp were here, Alena, Puig, Oriol, Wague, insert any player=would turn into new Xavi and Dani Alves.
Even Pep used all these players:
Bojan, Victor Sanchez, Botia, Muniesa, Abraham, Xavi Torres, Fontas, Bartra, Jonathan Dos Santos, Gai Assulin, Soriano, Mino, Sergi Gomez, Andreu Fontas, Montoya, Roberto, Victor Vasquez, Oriol Romeu, Jeffren, Nolito, Riverola, Rafinha, Cuenca, Deulofeu, Tello.
Pep "discovered" Busi and Pedro (and Pique).
And still he wasn't able to do too much with other 25 prospects with whom he worked (mentioned above).
And you guys act as if Pep would turn any semi decent player into a new Sterling.
Pep worked with 29 youngsters at Barca, 4 of them turned into starter's material (Pique, Busi, Pedro and Thiago).
And now again, when you sum all stats and numbers, do you guys still think that Pep would improve:
Puig, Alena, Oriol, Wague.
Plus: Dembele, Semedo, Arthur, Malcom.
I mean, Pep is good with some youngsters.
But you are making it as if he is able to cure every single flaw of every player.
Pep wasn't able to do too much with Bojan, Tello, Cuenca, Assulin, Montoya, Romeu etc.
Not to mention that he bought fairly young players like 23 years old Sanchez, 23 years old Chygrynskiy, 24 years old Affelay, 21 years old Caceres.
So, I don't get that part: some of you claim that ALL of Dembele, Malcom, Arthur, Alena, Puig would improve over Pep.
And yet Pep couldn't do too much with Bojan, Tello, Montoya, Assulin, Affelay, Chygry, Alexis, Cacares.
So, revisionism kicked in again.
Now it sounds as if Pep was turning every average player into a gold.
He wasn't able to do that even when he was here.
And he surely wouldn't be able to that with majority of current forum's favorites who are, sadly, insanely overrated by our fans.