OK, so you said a while back that Juventus ain't gonna win it. You say Barca and Madrid are bad. Liverpool and City aren't gonna do much either.
So you basically think that the winner of Tottenham vs Dortmund has the biggest chances then, or PSG. Right? I don't see you praising any team.
Yeah, nobody looks convincing, same as last year actually. One of Juve or Atleti are likely IMO as boring as they are. Atleti only ever lost to Real in knockouts, they won't have mental blocks against any other system. Most clutch defenses will almost always see you go far. All teams bar these two have mass liabilities at the back and again, both only really got beat by Real anyway.
City seem like perennial semifinal candidate type team. Walker and Stones are too hotheaded, same as during the WC, nothing changed there, Danilo liability as always, Mendy is barely ever there, too many weak links in one formation. Liverpool a perennial defensive liability at any given stage of competition, only the case of how many mistakes they make and at what stage of the game. Not a lot suggests that they're able to score past, go up and withhold teams with winner mentality. Karius was only one case of Klopp's misplaced trust. Lovren will bite him in the ass again. Alisson and/or Henderson might too actually.
PSG? Dunno. There's nothing that makes me trust or mistrust Tuchel either way, but that PSG side keeps coming back with new vigor every year. Somewhat a mesh of their and Liverpool's issues. Beatable by anyone on a given day, but better than most. Not made my mind up on them though I reckon getting into 1/4s is progress that will fuel them in itself.
Don't rate Barca or Madrid as systemic winners. Sure this Barca side could be for Messi what Cleveland was to LeBron's one-off champ run in a side with defensive problems, just don't think it'll happen. Best defensive lines of both teams either too shit or too unreliable and not likely to withstand a 1 on 1 test of top attackers of which there are lots of. Knockouts are always about matchups. Madrid probably would be the same as last year if Ronaldo stayed since he kept up the focus element for defense. Leadership from the front is gone now. Either somebody likes Isco all of a sudden carries us for multiple legs or we're bust.
Dortmund and Spurs too clumsy at the back for my liking.