Before the red card the xG scoreline was equal, the game was heading for a straight 0-0 draw. After the red card the gap widened as expected:
The problem today, and every time that EV plays all of Rakitic, Messi, Suarez, is we don't have someone at RW.
Even for the 4-4-2 we wants to play, this is clearly not working:
There is a huge whole on the right flank, reminiscent of the last two years under Lucho.
The problem starts with having two people (Suarez, Messi) that don't drop down when the whole team does, and so you end up not only defending not well, but also decreasing the danger of a possible counter.
In important games, i think it is imperative to revert to 4-3-3 with messi as false 9 and Suarez on the bench, since he cannot play the winger position that cuts in with providing proper defensive cover anymore
In unimportant games, if EV wants a 4-4-2, i think he should play it more like a 4-4-1-1 with one of Rakitic, paulinho next to Sergio. We cannot afford not having a right flank again..