France only played Honduras and Switzerland.
Bosnia seems the most likely opponent in the Last-16, it think there it can be different.
Even so, I prefer this scenario than the one from 2006 when they were total jokes in the group stage, hardly able to beat Togo and qualify 2nd and then be lucky against Spain.
So this scenario > Argentina having a surprise.
Oh an damn Euro 2016, I think it's the first final tourny I won't be watching "as much as the free time permits me", that 24 team format is terrible.