I said it before and I will say it again, I think big signing will be a big priority if we lose Messi, it is almost a certainty .
Liga and Spain need a strong Barca, with a competent board I won't be surprised if they loosen the restriction and support us. Messi leaving will be a disaster and Liga and Barca need a new poster boy.
We just don't have money for any big signing imo. Would like to be wrong and get Haaland or Upamecano (he's not exactly a big name signing but would be much needed) and ideally both but just don't see it happening.
Busi will be the easiest to get rid off, players who has post career aspiration with barca will not force themselves on the team for contractual reasons. Busi is a lock to be a future Barca coach, and next board might stay for 12 years. He won't try to burn bridges with them.
Umtiti and Coutinho are almost impossible though.
You need a club to accept taking Coutinho salary at the age of 29, never mind he will be a huge loss on our books. At best he is a player who cost us 120M for a 5.5 contract. That is 21M per year loss on our books if he leaves for free.
I would love it to happen, I would hope that Coutinho wants to enjoy football somewhere else, but I don't see it.
Umtiti has a bum knee, unless we accept paying half of his salary to loan him for 2 year in Lyon, I don't see it happening.
Hope you're right about Busi but sadly just don't see him leaving especially if Xavi will take over as a next coach (one of the many reasons I don't want him back for 2-3 more years).
I believe Coutinho will still generate interest in EPL (which is not as affected by corona as the rest of the world). Next summer he'll be 3,5 years into his 5,5 years contract. His unamortized cost will be around 50-60m and I think we could get something close to that to not have too big loss on him on the books and we'd also save money for his wages. I'd be even willing to loan him again with an obligatory buy for 40m in 2022 (a year before his contract expires). The main thing is to offload him. He's just useless and I prefer Pedri, Puig (eventhough I don't rate him highly) and maybe even Ilaix get a chance ahead of him.
I'd be willing to pay part of Umtiti's wages to get rid off him. Whatever costs we can save is better than nothing.
This is where I strongly disagree and think it is a terrible way of starting a rebuild.
You don't try to rebuild with kid, you need to try to sign players who are ready for the next step, players around 23-35, and maybe even some 27 years old players who can give you great 4 seasons.
Surely, this would be ideal but players entering their prime who are good enough are very hard to get especially in current situation. Who would you suggest we could realistically sign in that 23-27 age range that would improve the team at the positions of needs. I just don't see many available players.
I think our best option are players on expiring contracts like Alaba, Wijnaldum or Depay. Sure, first two are already closer to 30 than we'd like but wouldn't mind them on shorter term contracts.
Also, FDJ and Dembele will be 24 so they should be entering their prime years but sure, they are both further behind in their development than they should be, especially Dembele because of his injury problems. Lenglet will be 26 so he's also in that range.
Basically you want the team next year to have:
Araujo (22), Garcia (20),Dest (21), Emerson (22) Fati & Pedri (18,almost 19). Eric Garcia 20, Balde (18)
Pedri (19) Ilaix (18)
Konrad (20) & Fati (19)
Along our previous young signings who are stull very underdeveloped: Dembele, FDJ and Firpo
There is no balance in this squad, no veteran leadership, no good players in their prime to allow those young players to properly develop.
I agree about the lack of leadership and that should be addressed. That's why players like Wijnaldum or Alaba would make sense. They are both captains for their NTs and AFAIK also 2nd/3rd captains in Bayern/Liverpool. Depay is also a captain for Lyon.
Also, you didn't understand me. I didn't mean for Balde or Ilaix to be fully promoted to the first team. They should imo stay in Barca B until 2022 (Balde will only turn 19 by the start of the 2022/23 season) but they should train with the first team sometimes and maybe play in Copa. But if some injury occures and they get a chance and do a Fati like impact then they should obviously stay in the first team.
Something like this wouldn't look to terrible imo and we wouldn't need to spend too much money we don't have.
GK: MATS, Neto (wouldn't mind selling him for a good offer though and have Pena as a backup)
RB: Dest, Emerson (Roberto can also cover if needed if not sold for a good money)
CB: Alaba, Lenglet, Araujo, E.Garcia - Would really like to get Upamecano/Kounde instead of E.Garcia (who is overrated as a former La Masia kid imo) but unlikely. Send Pique to MLS if he doesn't want to retire. If he wants to stay shouldn't be anything more than a 4th/5th CB though.
LB: Alba, Alaba/Dest - I think we could be without a full-time LB backup with multiple players able to cover there. I like Firpo but he'll be gone by next season and I don't think we'll bring someone to replace him.
DM: FDJ, Pjanić
CM: Wijnaldum, Roberto, Pedri, Puig
AMC: Griezmann, Puig
RW: Dembele, Trincao
LW: Ansu, Depay
ST: Malen, Depay/MB
We could play either 4-2-3-1 or return to 4-3-3 with no Messi around anymore.
Haaland should be our primary target but just don't think we can afford him or that he'd be interested coming here even if we would somehow find money for him. So maybe risk with someone like Malen who would be much cheaper.
We wouldn't get much in terms of transfer fees for departing players but we would clear a lot of wages which would be helpful in coming years.
See how younger players will develop then in 2022 when financial situation will hopefully be better go and buy what's needed. Surely a new midfielder or maybe two will be needed, then a striker/winger and a longterm replacement for Alba who would be our only player older than 32 at the start of the 2021/22 season.
I'm sure this won't happen and he won't be the only remaining amigo still here next season though.
Going full youth is a recipe for disaster tbh
I don't disagree but it's even worse not doing anything. Anyway, if my math is correct then average age at the start of next season for the above lineup would be around 25,4 years so we wouldn't be so extremely young.