Messi983
Senior Member
If you get a better board, better technical staff, better manager, you will improve the transfers success rate, simply because you know what you are looking for. Right now they don't have a clue what is needed, so they sign big name players and try to jam them into our system.
Everything is relative to the management, because these are the guys spending all the money. If the new board is good, transfer will start to make more sense because they fit our needs, and that success rate may even double to 2/3 players who confirm, instead of 1/3 which is your suggested rate.
Let's look at transfers from our most successful era.
2008:
- Alves: great
- Hleb: lol
- Caceres: lol
- Keita: good
- Henrique: lol
- Pique: great
- Pinto: ok (cheap backup GK for a few years)
2009/10:
- Ibra: fail (for other reasons than lack of quality; we can say the same for our recent 100m flops)
- Chygrinskiy: lol
- Keirrison: lol
- Maxwell: ok
2010/11:
- Villa: good
- Masche: great
- Adriano: ok
- Afellay: don't consider him a flop because he was cheap but didn't give us much because of injuries
2011/12:
- Cesc: ok
- Alexis: ok
Out of 17 signings only 3 have turned out to be longterm great starters. Villa had a good first season then broke his leg and never returned to his old level. Cesc and Alexis were ok but lacked something to stay for a longer time. Keita, Adriano and Maxwell were solid squad players. So let's say 9 out of 17 players were somewhat successful if we're generous. Still away from your suggested/wished 66% success rate.
A pretty important question here is how would you grade success rate of the transfers? Do we need to get a longterm worldclass players like Alves or Pique to find a transfer successful? Or is it enough for a player to be a starter for a few seasons (Cesc and Alexis) and then recuperate most money when he's sold. Or would we give a signing a good grade if he would become just a squad player for a solid price? People have different level of expectations so they would grade some of those transfers different.
Personally I would consider any player who wouldn't be like 150-200% overpaid and help us for a few seasons as a good buy but in our current situation we'll need to hit on potential longterm starters over the next few years so only hitting on Keitas and Adrianos won't be enough. Neither will be signing next Cescs and Alexises for similar money we've bought them including almost a 200% inflation on a current market (nobody would be happy if we'd buy players like them for 80m today).
So if people believe only changing the board will suddenly double up our success in transfers they are in for a rude awakening over the next few years. What could play in new signings's favor after our old core will be gone is we'll need to find starters at several positions so even if those new players won't be good enough from the moment they'll be brought to the club they'll still be given a chance to show what they can do for a season or two because we won't have a lot of other options. Our success ratio of getting more starters or at least squad players could so really go up and some people could praise the new board for that but how many of those players will truly be the ones we could build around a team longterm is still very questionable.
Anyway, we should use an "open competition" to try and attract good younger players who for now probably still don't want to come here because they know they have Messi, Suarez, Pique, Alba,.. in front of them eventhough most of them are declining. But when they are all gone it should be easier to attract players at their positions.
On a flip side being choosed as a potential replacement for a longterm star(ter) of the team could also cause too high expectations for many players. Like it or not people will always compare new players to former legends playing at their position even if that's unfair to young players (putting additional pressure on them) and disrespectful to the legends when young unproven kids are called as the next Messi or Xavi. It's wrong but it's just a social media world we live in and nothing will change anytime soon.