Ballon D'Or this year is complicated, there are many candidates. I agree that Mbappe is probably the favourite IF PSG wins the CL and/or France wins the Euro(well if he wins both it's actually certain
)
However, it's still early to tell who is going to win the 3 major trophies(CL,Euro and to a lesser extent Copa America)
To be honest with ourselves, Leo doesn't have a lot of chances. When was the last time the Ballon D'or Winner was knocked out in the R16 of the CL? A really fucking long time ago...
However
IF he continues playing well
and IF he wins the double and/or the Copa
and IF Mbappe or Lewa do not win the CL,then he has a lot of chances.
But as I said,there are still a lot of variables.
And to be honest, I think that Leo would be extremely happy to win the double and especially Copa America, even if it does not result in the 7th Ballon