JohnN
Senior Member
Disclaimer: Dembele is better than all of our wingers.
He is insanely fast and a great dribbler. He creates many chances for others.
Having established that...
Can you see his weaknesses?
Let me explain:
The good:
The bad:
and the ugly:
These are not one offs that you could find for any player. He is consistently missing big chances, and also consistently doing stupid things.
As for his injury record:
Age 26, 22/23 89 days, 19 games missed
Age 25, 21/22 159 days, 29 games missed
Age 24, 20/21 24 days, 6 games missed
Age 23, 19/20 294 days, 40 games missed
Age 22, 18/19 86 days, 18 games missed
Age 21, 17/18 132 days, 31 games missed
Since we like statistics, that is an average of 130 days per season injured and 23 games missed per season. A season is about 62 games if a team plays in league, cup (all the way to the final) and CL (all the way to the final).
So in average, for the best case scenario, he participates in about 60% of games. He is closer to averaging lower than 50% of games in reality.
Let's consider some other factors too:
1. A fact that cannot be actually measured properly using stats, is that he is a big game flop, or a flat track bully. Having his worst games in the bigger occasion consistently.
2. Speed for men peaks about 24–26. Football peak for forwards is around early to mid, (perhaps even late) twenties. Not late twenties for footballers who rely mostly on speed.
Taking all that into consideration, when is Dembele gonna set the world on fire?
By the end of this season he will be 27.
If he manages to avoid injuries for the next 3 years and starts actually scoring his chances, he might be able to up his level to world class for that period of time.
Until then he will remain a prospect. A prospect of age 26.
He is insanely fast and a great dribbler. He creates many chances for others.
Having established that...
Can you see his weaknesses?
Let me explain:
The good:
These are not one offs that you could find for any player. He is consistently missing big chances, and also consistently doing stupid things.
As for his injury record:
Age 26, 22/23 89 days, 19 games missed
Age 25, 21/22 159 days, 29 games missed
Age 24, 20/21 24 days, 6 games missed
Age 23, 19/20 294 days, 40 games missed
Age 22, 18/19 86 days, 18 games missed
Age 21, 17/18 132 days, 31 games missed
Since we like statistics, that is an average of 130 days per season injured and 23 games missed per season. A season is about 62 games if a team plays in league, cup (all the way to the final) and CL (all the way to the final).
So in average, for the best case scenario, he participates in about 60% of games. He is closer to averaging lower than 50% of games in reality.
Let's consider some other factors too:
1. A fact that cannot be actually measured properly using stats, is that he is a big game flop, or a flat track bully. Having his worst games in the bigger occasion consistently.
2. Speed for men peaks about 24–26. Football peak for forwards is around early to mid, (perhaps even late) twenties. Not late twenties for footballers who rely mostly on speed.
Taking all that into consideration, when is Dembele gonna set the world on fire?
By the end of this season he will be 27.
If he manages to avoid injuries for the next 3 years and starts actually scoring his chances, he might be able to up his level to world class for that period of time.
Until then he will remain a prospect. A prospect of age 26.