@soul24rage I am just looking at their seven remaining fixtures man.
Peru (H)
Uruguay (A)
Brazil (H)
Chile (A)
Colombia (H)
Venezuela (H)
Ecuador (A)
There's some tough ones here (on paper and reputation at least) but they have likely already done more than enough to qualify anyway even if they lost all (never ever gonna happen) and they will win plenty of these I expect. I think they'll take about 13-17 points from these and finish on 35-39. It's important though more that they can go on a winning streak and keep confidence and momentum high going into the tournament.
This is the right place to ask, so how do you feel about the rule that the holders have to qualify now? I can't remember the exact year it came in but think it was either 2002 or 2006, memory hazy. Do you think holders should be granted an automatic berth? It seems it would be a fitting reward, and it would be weird to have a World Cup without the champions. However, obviously if you win a World Cup you will always be good enough to qualify next time.