Actually I am moved to respond to the silly xG nonsense because I see it pop up over and over as an 'argument'. You point exactly to the issue: it doesn't matter how many more goals he 'should have'. That sort of claim is as persuasive as saying that, had the 'weather' been different, or some other silly hypothetical, outcomes would have changed. Maybe. Maybe not. Doesn't matter: the absolute totals are what determine matches, titles, and awards.
You're not moved to 'respond' - nobody mentioned it here yesterday and it's not been mentioned since I had a chat with James about it. You're moved to stick it to people thinking something's been proven. To which I can just smile and nod
It's not a problem at all. Absolutes do not define everything concretely, hence you need better measures and xG is used as an argument because it does relatively well to measure chance quality.
Plenty of players who have a relatively poorer (by standards set in last decade for non-Messi/Ronaldo players) goal totals who influenced titles and awards. And plenty of examples where assist # doesn't define the level of a creator.
Iniesta - ~5 league assists on average pre 2009 despite playing 45+ games per season
Sneijder - under 10 league assists as a #10 in all but 3 years of his career in top flight football
Robben - same thing
Xavi - not counting Qatar, 5 seasons with 10+ league assists
By that standard Ronaldo was a better final passer than all of the above as had 6 seasons with 10+ league assists
In the other thread where we took up this issue you failed to respond to the point I think Morten (?) made which suggests that Lewandowski is a very average forward according to xG.
Responded to it there and then and you didn't understand the argument because you continue to not understand what makes xG big or small.
Lewandowski is average in terms of having good quality chances as do most forwards. As ever it's about his skill in generating a larger volume that influences the totals on every metric. Same with Ronaldo or other scorers who get to good positions with more ease. In fact that same article Morten posted explicitly said so.
Anyway. Should probably move this discussion out of Braithwaite thread as it has little to do with him. It's been established he's not doing nearly as well as he should, even for a backup vs bottom 10 Liga level, also backed up by stats.