Not sure why people seem to think "experience" or "past glory" will give any advantage when clearly this is a team shadow of their past. Is that to say City has no experience?
If Madrid have problems creating chances then the defence will have an easy job.
They have no experience in CL ties.
Also, due to their horror show defeats in the last few seasons in a CL against everyone, they are probably shaky mentally.
Then, if you add that their coach is Pep who is probably a top manager with the worst CL KO results (without Messi) and especially in away matches, and you have a clear advantage for a more experienced team who shouldn't lose their heads easily.
Someone will surely ask: why is Barca losing heads in a CL since we should have an experience?
Imo:
1. when we were winning CLs, we were winning due to Messi and technical brilliance. We were never winning due to a mental strength.
We just had cheating codes in Messi and won.
2. our other players are pussies, mentally weak
3. and our coach is not a leader either
City:
Similar problems.
A team of technical players without warriors and leaders, since this is how Pep builds his teams.
It worked when he had Messi to cover for his flaws.
Without Messi, you see what you have with City.
Real on the other hand:
1. have a coach who is a leader and not a pussy like EV or Pep
2. Real maybe have a less technical team (but still technical enough), but they DO have some leaders and mental strength.
Ramos, Marcelo. CR/ in the past. Kroos and Modric are decent in a psychological area.
Casemiro will add blood and fight and break bones to everyone.
Basically, Madrid is way closer to Liverpool in that area.
When things get tough, bloody and heated in key moments, they have: technical quality, a few leaders and a few warriors.
Unlike Barca and City who only have technique.
Someone will ask: but but but why is then Madrid behind us in La Liga?
Well:
1. because La Liga is NOT about playing against EQUAL teams as you (50:50 matches) but about trashing Mickey Mouse teams consistently.
And when we have Messi, we have a cheating codes and Messi is alone the strongest weapon in killing off Mickey Mouse teams.
Also, La Liga requires less mental strength than a CL.
So, you can easily survive in La Liga if you have technically superior team filled with pussies.
Since the opponents are so weak, that you will rarely get 50:50 matches with dirty tricks, fouls, blood and heated moments.
This is why Pep's/Barca's light teams can easily dominate league championships.
2. in a CL, there are NO Mickey Mouse teams, and you have 10 equal teams (Barca, Real, Atletico, City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham, Bayern, Juve, Psg) who rely on technique, BUT ALSO physique, provocations, fouls, fights, aggression, dirty tricks, mind games, street fighting spirit in key moments.
And when that happens: Alba and our players usually cry, sulk and go MIA.
Pep is lost by a touchline, his players don't have a fighting spirit or leaders/warriors to shake off that pressure at 2:2 in the 70th minute.
And voila, this is why Pep concedes 4-5 goals against anyone and why Barca can concede 3-4 goals on any away KO match when the pressure is on, since we get bullied by the home team and 80 000 home fans.
You can win a CL only in 3 ways:
1. if you are 2 levels above your opponents, like Pep's Barca with Messi, Xavi, Iniesta
2. if you are as equal as other 10 top teams, then you need a mix of a good coach, technique, physique, a fighting spirit, mental strength and leaders to survive those 50:50 battles
3. if you are have neither a team from a point 1 or 2, you can just be lucky on draws and in some matches, like Chelsea in 2012
A current Barca team is not 2 levels better than the opponents from an example no1.
And we don't have a coach, physique, leaders and a fighting spirit from an example no2.
So, we will either get KOd or win with an insane level of luck.
The same is with City, since they share similar flaws.
Is that to say City has no experience?
In short:
1. no dirty CL warrior KO matches experience
2. no leaders and warriors in a team
3. a pussy coach who goes MIA on away matches and has around 20% wins ratio on away matches in his CL career