Fati_Future_BallonDor
Well-known member
You are now trying to distract from yourself
Pretty much this.
I sort of agree. Koeman isn't the problem, but he's not the answer to fixing our problems either.
Nobody is saying RK is the problem ... but he is inexistant and have no clue how to enhance the team.
Why would you keep someone who can't bring results nor help share the futur ?
Wasn't that the culprit about EV that he can't reshape the team (which is true) and "people don't care about winning la ligua" ?
Well RK can't do both !
His best time as a manager was for the Dutch NT "not making them look as terrible as they were" before he joined ... maybe that's his thing he should be back at it.
Talking about yourself I assume...Master of evading admitting defeat...
To give some historical sense and show the trend. If you don't want that, here are the 5 year numbers:1) First of all why do you jump 10 years back?
Are we comparing now this team to Pep's team?
Hell no
Yes it was, but not on that site.2) xG data were not widely available 5 years back. The site I used lists xG data since 2017.
Enough to compare the EV teams and last season with what Koeman is doing now
Ok, I'd think to get a penalty you need to have the ball in the box, it doesn't come from the sky.3) Non-penalty xG for and against is the most reliable metric.
Pens are awarded not created. Hence, chance creation is tainted if you include pens.
You will see the same metric put forward by most data analysts out there
Okay, so we see that Barcelona traditionally overperform their xG.4) If you do the chance conversion calculation (non-p G / non-p xG) for you see that:
20/21: 1.05 (74/70.4)
19/20: 1.26 (78/61.9)
18/19: 1.19 (80/67)
17/18: 1. 23 (93/ 75.2)
If there was any massive improvement this year, it wasn't in hindering opponents chances.npG/npxG against:
20/21: 0.85 (29/33.8)
19/20: 1.01 (31/30.7)
18/19: 0.87 (34/39)
17/18: 0.68 (27/39.6)
If, if, if.So our attackers have the worst conversion rate of the last 4 seasons.
If their rate was 1.2, which would be more closer to the one of the previous 3 seasons, we would have scored 10 more goals by now.
You don't need to wonder why this League is not done and dusted in our favor.
This is largely correctAnd clearly the reason is not our record against RM and Atletico.
League is not won by the one who wins against top-3, but by the one who consistently wins against midtable and lowtable teams
It's that we didn't win games where we had the best chances, and we wasted them.
Who should replace Koeman?
You don't really counter my points or answer my questions, but bring up other stuff.
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That's the 1M$ answer as we should NOT do what we did for EV and bring the first guy available (which lets be honest its pretty much how barto landed RK his job after Setien).
No change for the sake of the change.
If we can sign the likes of Ten Hag if he is clearly convincing the board then we go with that.
Birdy, or anyone else, still have a lot to do to show that.I'm not disputing the XG side of things, more the last sentence about the improvement as people will have their different metrics to judge that and the nuances involved in their rationale as to why we have/haven't improved.
e.g. if you're a result first kind of supporter we have regressed ever so slightly, if you're a stats first kind of supporter we have improved. Playstyle and what people find attractive of course cannot be judged as one person's entertainment is another's misery.
When a board is weak unprofessional things happen ...
I'm sure Puig didn't get the same treatment as FCB isn't that stupid.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0m1f9cZg58
Birdy, or anyone else, still have a lot to do to show that.
Your initial response was much better.