Birdy
Senior Member
How well a team finishes and takes their chances also contributes to how strong a team is. xG is only a measure of the chances created but it doesn't factor how good a team is at finishing.
Madrid of course are excellent at finishing so will probably require less xG to win a game than another team.. Their great mentality plays into that and usually converting chances in high pressure situations that others might miss.
If all that mattered was xG Ferran Torres would be a top player. Unfortunately the skill of taking chances also matters and Madrid are great at that.
Of course finishing and goalkeeping plays a part here, I never denied that
The thing is:
1) It creates small deviation only if you take a significantly big interval of time to look at
Even the best players of all time, let's say Messi, you think they would always overperform their xG consistently, but there are times they do it, or they do it at crazy rate, there are other times they don't
Same with goalkeepers
2) I specifically used as an example the clear empty net chances Pulisic and Ziyec wasted at Bernabeu,
so that no idiot would talk about Courtois. In that game, RM should not take any credit for Chelsea players missing sitters. Isn't that so?Unless one is actually resorting to irrationalism
3) The most important point is:
When a team CONSISTENTLY is outdone on xG, and always manages somehow to scrap a result, you can't say that this team should get any credit for that.
Football-wise they were poor, and they bet on their GK to save their ass all the time, and their attackers to bail them out with crazy finishes
Then this is a BAD team
No elite coach/team sets up this way, and there is a reason for it: the teams that maximize their danger and minimize the opponent's danger, are the ones who in the long run win titles
That's what KL and other Madrid twerkers can't get
I can think of many teams that have great GKs and great finishers upfront, but they never end up winning titles, even cup titles, by letting their GK/attackers to bail them, when they are poor in dominating the game, creating chances, conceding no chances etc, that is the pure tactical aspect of the game
So KL's theory is dump because there is no theory that applies only to 1 team in the world and only 1 competition
End of story
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