Semi-Neutral
Sir Alupp Heynrguson
A winger will be in serious disadvantage having to quickly react and track a bombing fullback, that's advantage Barca.
But how is that different from having bombarding fullbacks in our normal formation? The lack of them having a fullback and the lack of us having a winger cancels each other out, so why is this situation suddenly so much better for us?
By having the CF occupying the CBs deep
Why would they be deeper? Like, I'm trying to visualize random moments of the game when we were in the attacking third, and I just don't see why the nine would drag the defenders back that much. Maybe a disorganized defense would mess up to that, but there was a reason Villa was poor in so many games and called the "offside king". Because the defenders just didn't bother to go out of their way to mark him and he often didn't end up hurting anyone.
By taking away the clear target for the fullback, you create confusion that you can exploit. Fullback either has to come closer to the edge of the box to get into play thus leaving the wing exposed, or he stays in the wing and is taken out of the play. You force him to make decisions and create opportunities for mistakes.
Again, for a team with poor organization, perhaps. But a manager will spot these weaknesses and adapt to them and tell the fullback where to go. Maybe you'll get a few minutes where the defense doesn't really know what to do, but that'll happen with any change in formation, not just specifically adding a number nine.
All of that being said, I feel like this is a bit of a useless discussion. We're just mentioning hypothetical scenarios that have no guarantee of happening and so until a number nine is tried with Messi, we won't know what happens. Maybe they'll experiment with Dongou in a few years, maybe they won't, but I feel like saying "well I think this person will go here" "well I think this person will go here" isn't really accomplishing anything.