There are a number of reasons why we have prioritised lautaro as the number 9, the main reason being that he wants to join barca. The days are gone where we were automatically the 1st choice for players. Werner's 1st choice is Liverpool and he has been praising them for months now.
Haaland's agent is Raiola and we have a bad relationship with him after ibrahimovic. We are one of the last teams he will offer his players to and he does have influence over his players. He was definitely one of the main reasons de ligt went to juve last year
You made some good points here.
Yeah, we're not in the best relationship with Raiola but if we would offer his player (whoever that is) the best deal he would probably still want his player to take it (in the end it's still a player's decision but as you've said he has a big influence on them). He's a businessman after all and mostly interested in money.
Raiola usually wants his players to go through more clubs so he doesn't want to sell them immediately to Bar?a/Real/PSG who almost never need/want to sell their key players. So if he'd sell a 19 yo De Ligt to one of those clubs he could be there for a decade and Raiola would lose any possible money from further transfer(s). Unless MDL would fail to establish himself and the club would be willing to sell him but in that case his value would drop. That's especially true for our players because we don't know how to sell though having a Raiola player who would flop here would still bring us more money when selling than with other agent's players. For a simple reason. Higher transfer fee, a bigger commision for Raiola so he would want to drive up his price.
That's imo why they've selected Juve who was willing to accept a 150m release clause. Bar?a is too big of a club to accept this so we'd probably give him a clause in the range of 300m+ like we're doing regularly for most players since Neymar backstabbed us. 150m is still a crazy money for a CB that I don't think any club will be willing to pay in a near future (I'd gladly pay that for Van Dijk if he'd been 3-4 years younger instead of wasting money on Lautaro and/or Neymar - not that L'pool would sell him, especially not to us after the whole Coutinho tranfer saga - but I'm not sure MDL will ever be worth anywhere close to that sum) but if/when De Ligt will want to leave I'm sure Raiola will do anything to get him out of Juve.
On a side note I think Raiola will do something similar with Haaland next year. He'll probably go to United with a release clause somewhere in the range of 150-200m (since they would only pay 75m for him) so Bar?a/RM/PSG can get him in a few years if they want. Haaland wants to play in the EPL and he'd also play for OGS (if he won't get fired before though I don't think he will as Haaland will be one of their key targets for the future and they have bigger chances to land him with Solskjaer there). But in 3-4 years when he'll still be only 23-24 and if United will continue to struggle winning who knows. At that point our amigos should all be out of the club and Haaland could become one of our star signings/players. Of course all of this assuming he'll continue his career like he has started it and if we won't find a prolific striker before then (which could easily happen).
Anyway, back to MDL. I think there are also two other reasons not directly connected to Raiola why we didn't buy MDL or at least go more serious after him as I think we just gave up at one point.
1. I'm sure lower taxes in Italy for foreign players also played a role in De Ligt's decision.
2. we were still hopeful to get Neymar so we were saving money. After already spending 200m on FDJ and Griezmann we just couldn't afford to buy MDL for 70m and then still have 150m+ for Neymar. It's a stupid reason to not address a position of a big need like a CB but I think it played a big role in our decision to finally not signing De Ligt (we didn't really consider any other cheaper CB alternatives either which is another mistake). And tbh IF we'll land someone like Upamecano this year I wouldn't really mind missing out on MDL. He would fit much better in the lineup besides Pique as a faster and more athletic CB, because like it or not Pique will still be a starter for the next two years. But we'll probably go cheap on a CB and a midfielder just to have money for Lautaro, Neymar or possibly even both of them.
Thankfully I think due to corona both are not possible and between the two I prefer Lautaro. But as I've already said spending 100m on him only make sense if Suarez leaves. If he won't then Lautaro will be misused as a winger and most likely be considered another 100m flop in a year or two.