If Messi wasn't injured he would also have been up there.
What am I reading from this?
Last season our downfall was tired MSN and Lucho is running them to the ground again.
He was also injured at around the same time last season and missed more games than this season.
So let's compare minutes that MSN played this and last season until December 24th. In 2015/16 season we played 28 games until that date, this season we played 26 (we played one more league game but didn't participate in CWC and European Supercup).
2015/16 season:
Neymar - Completed games – 17, subbed off – 2, didn't play – 9 games (Injured/ill/rested), total minutes - 1.704, % of possible minutes played – 66,8%
Suarez - Completed games – 24, didn't play - 4 games (rested), total minutes - 2.190, % of possible minutes played - 88,9%
Messi - Completed games – 14; Subbed off – 1, Subbed on – 2, didnt' play (injured/rested) – 11, total minutes - 1.364, % of possible minutes played - 53,5%
2016/17 season:
Neymar -Completed games – 16, Subbed off - 2, didn't play (on Olympics/rested/suspended) - 8, total minutes - 1.604, % of possible minutes played - 68,5%
Suarez - Completed games – 16, Subbed off - 4, Subbed on - 1, didn't play (rested/suspended) - 5, total minutes - 1.720*, % of possible minutes played - 73,5%
Messi - Completed games – 17, Subbed off - 1, Subbed on - 2, didn't play (injured/ill/rested) - 6, total minutes - 1.654*, % of possible minutes played - 70,7%
* It seems that both Supercopa games were not included in that Sport table posted above.
So in comparision. Suarez's playing time has dropped considerably, Neymar is at about the same level and of course Messi played more this season because he missed less games because of an injury.
Now let's see minutes that MSN played after 24th of December last season. We played 34 total games (23 in La Liga, 7 in Copa and 4 in CL)
Neymar - Completed games – 30, Subbed off - 0, Subbed on - 0, didn't play (injured/rested/suspended) - 4, total minutes - 2.730, % of possible minutes played - 88,3%
Suarez - Completed games – 28, Subbed off - 1*, Subbed on - 0, didn't play (injured/rested/suspended) - 5, total minutes - 2.576, % of possible minutes played - 83,4%
Messi - Completed games – 31, Subbed off - 1, Subbed on - 0, didn't play (injured/rested) - 2, total minutes - 2.820, % of possible minutes played - 91,3%
*injury in Copa final (our last game of the season)
Now that's where I'd say Lucho has run MSN to the ground. Not in the first half of the season but after New Year. I believe that MSN can easily play around 70-80% of the minutes every season. Especially Messi who has learned how to "rest" while on the pitch. But playing 85-90% of minutes is too much for them as well.
I don't think they've played too much so far this season. Of course injuries "help" to keep their minutes down, especially in Messi's case but Arda's good form has allowed Lucho to give Neymar more rest, i.e. away game at San Mames when Ney had one week off after Olympics. Most people disagreed with his decision at that time but longterm it was probably the right one. We won that game and Arda provided an assist for the winning goal. Yes, Paco wasn't good so far but at least he did give Suarez more rest. Could Munir or Sandro also done that? Of course. But would they? Lucho didn't show enough trust in them last year and knowing him I don't think their situation would really change much this season. So if Paco is here just to let Suarez play around 800-1000 minutes less than last season I'm ok with that for now. Again, Munir or Sandro could play those minutes but if Lucho wouldn't believe in them and will continue to play Suarez instead of playing them then that wouldn't help us (or both youngsters in their progress). At the same time I'm one of those few fans who still believe that Paco will prove himself as useful player for us in second half of the season. And of course Messi is Messi and will play most of the times when healthy but I think Rafinha (especially his goal-scoring record which is very good this season) has also proven that he can play at his position (not totally Messi's role though) against lesser opponents if Lucho will decide to rest Messi.
I hope Lucho won't repeat his mistake from last season and will continue to give more rest to MSN. If we look at our remaining schedule, we still have from 26 (worst case, so if we go out against Athletic and PSG in Copa/CL) to 36 games (best case - we won another treble) to play, so let's say we are at around 40-50% of our season. I'll just go with best case scenario here and say we'll play 36 games, so a total of 3.240 more minutes (not counting any possible ET in CDR/CL games). So if we can somehow restrain all of them to around 2.600-2.700 minutes (so around 80%) in remaining games I think we'll be ok.
Now when and where to rotate/rest them is another question. I don't think we'll see that in CL. MSN will play most of minutes in that competition unless we already have a comfortable (aggregate) lead and Lucho can substitute one of Suarez or Ney for the last 20-30 minutes in 2nd leg against PSG. And then maybe if we get Real Madrid lucky and draw an easier opponent in quarterfinals but I wouldn't count on that.
CDR is an obvious competition for rotations. We'll see how Lucho will handle that but I could see Arda starting in Neymar's place at San Mames again. And then there are of course home league games. Yes, it will be hard to rotate as much after how many points we already lost at Camp Nou and Lucho should never start 7 or 8 bench players again at the same time but I think with healthy Iniesta and Busquets in better form we can afford to occasionaly rest one of MSN. Of course not playing Messi when healthy will be very hard but I think there should be a Liga game or two at Camp Nou against easier opponents (especially before CL games) when he can start on the bench (but both Suarez and Neymar should start that game). I just think that at least two of MSN should always play unless the game is already decided, so you either start with Arda-Suarez-Messi or Neymar-Paco-Messi (I'd like to see that) or Neymar-Suarez-Rafinha. If Lucho will decide to give rest to Suarez and Neymar in the same game then you have to start Messi, Busquets, Iniesta and our best defense. But Messi is the only one who I'd trust to start alongside two non-MSN forwards. If Suarez's and/or Neymar's form will clearly improve then I'll maybe change my mind about that but right now I wouldn't feel confident with Neymar-Paco-Rafinha or Arda-Suarez-Rafinha kind of lineup.
Also, another important thing that I almost forget to mention is that La Liga has been played through hollidays last season while MSN will have almost 3 weeks off this year. And we also didn't have to travel to Japan for CWC. So there is no doubt in my mind that MSN and the rest of the team shouldn't again fall off in later part of the season because of tiredness. But Lucho should still keep rotating and resting them.