If this was a normal edition of the competition with home and away legs with fans and other teams at top fitness I would agree, but that is not the case this year. There isn't any 2nd away leg for us to bottle this season and every team is out of rhythm. Anything can happen.
PSG will not have had a competitive match in 5 months. The Bundesliga ends today and Bayern's final match until the CL restarts is a cup final in a week's time. That's a two week longer lay-off than we have. Juventus and Atletico are not particularly strong sides this season. Madrid/City are both probably better sides, but again it's a one off match in weird circumstances and it's not like we're fecking Sunderland here. We still have many great players.
I don't understand how you can write us off with such confidence.
I think the point of every team being out of rhythm makes it an even playing field especially at the neutral venues. If it was the normal format I don't even think we'd bottle it, we'd just get steamrolled by a better side in an away game at City,Bayern or PSG.
Purely because we are still playing the same way, with the same players in difficult games now as we have the last 4 years, rely on Messi and that's it, combined with slow and sterile build up play that's easy to nullify. It's no coincidence we lost 3-0 twice and 4-0 twice in the last few years playing away from the Camp Nou.
With the break in schedule in consideration I'd say Barca,Madrid,City and Juve will have the edge because of match practice. The rest are practically playing the CL as their pre-season warm up.