some people here seems like lived on another planet in the last years. No matter what Aguero, Muller or others player can win, balon d'or with this system is always a race between Ronaldo and Messi, they are the most popular players in the world and the retard capitans and coach of NT (a majority vote is their) at the end of the year look the stast and the stast are always good for them. Ronaldo won the balon d'or in 2013 without tituli, Messi was second in 2014 in the worst season of his career, last year Ronaldo won nothing and was ranked above Neymar and Suarez with triplete.
So for me is simple:
-Ronaldo win champions-> balon d'or locked.
-Ronaldo win nothing and Messi win liga and copa america-> balon d'or for Messi is locked.