BBZ8800
Senior Member
Prices are skyrocketing every year. I think we can expect us to pay close to 200m euros for each of Suarez and Messi replacements. And yes, I am pretty sure they will be replaced with some "crack" at a premium. My experience is that we never get money for players past 30, we are even struggling to get any money at all for players below 30. We just get chump change.
All players we have in our current squad are members of the team and need to be replaced IMO to keep the same squad depth. That includes replacements for backup players as well. If Alves retires, we have to get another RB, even if Vidal proves successful.
Replacements for Pique and Mascherano? Easily 60m euros each in 2-3 years if we want world class CBs.
There is a point until it is sensible to pay some amounts.
If you can earn, let's say 100M for winning the Champions league, and if you can earn 200M from sponsors and shirts sales per Season, then 300M is the maximum which you can earn in one Season.
That means that it makes sense to spend only LESS that 300M if you want to gain any profit in that Season.
Spending 400M for transfers and player's wages and earning maximum 300M is a bad business.
We will win trophies? So what? We can't operate that way because we will get into extreme debts in 3-4 Seasons.
So, you say that prices are higher and higher each Season, but that is only because of a supply and demand, and because of rich owners from English teams and Psg. And because of high sponsorship money in England.
But also, even the current prices has some limit.
Again, if the maximum of earnings will stay, let's say 300M per Season, then prices WON'T rise further, and there is no way that a RB or defensive midfielder will cost 100 Millions.
Because no one will pay those prices because they are not worth it.
If people are currently overpaying, well we still haven't reached the limit.
Prices will either stop to rise, or they will continue to rise, but then it would mean that sponsorship money will be even higher and sponsors would compensate/cover expensive transfers.
Anyway, my point is, that you can't expect both:
1. to prices rise more and more
2. earnings from CL and sponsors staying the same
3. us not getting any money for older Messi, Suarez and similar etc
4. plus, you can't just spend 100M on each position because we need world-class players. You need some maths, balance, accounting, predicting whether that is a good investment (a player alone, a player compared with the value of the whole team, predictions how much your team can win/earn in the next 2-3-4-5 years etc)
This is why some posts like: but we need Pogba (or any other player) for XX amount of Millions doesn't make sense sometimes.
And something like: a price doesn't matter at all, we need him!
Football is about fun, fans and titles, but it is also a business.
There is a limit for each transfer and for a budget in each Season.
We can't just spend 100M on every player and we have to balance the team with some 20M transfers/lower wages/smaller rooster also.
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