In my opinion, our chances of winning UCL this year will depend on our front 3 scoring consistency. I based my opinion on our previous 2 UCL Final win. The one we had Henry-Eto'o-Messi and then last one we had Villa-Messi-Pedro. Those 2 different front 3 were scoring goals consistently the whole season while last season and this season we only have Messi as consistent goal scorer.
That is because defenders before were divided unlike now, we had 2 other threats in front of the goal and they have to mark the other 2. Now they only focus on Messi and they seem to ignore the other 2 forwards and the center gets so crowded. And by the way, Pedro isn't as dangerous as his 2010-2012 form when we got the UCL trophy.