What's the final chart supposed to show? Other than highlighting Messi has been meh at best in the CL?
All these charts are also only comparing the EV 19/20 autumn, where everyone and their mother knew the season was unlikely to end well for him and he overstayed his welcome. So no use showing Setien improved the numbers. Even Pimienta would probably have marginally better numbers. Kinda like OGS had better numbers than Mourinho and remained pretty shit until they got Fernandes from Sporting.
Sure, Setien is probably better stylistically, but none of this really proves much other than that the team is playing just about at its ceiling, no matter who it is leading the pack.
Guess it serves as some comfort for Setienistas that he's having a better 19/20 than the predecessor who would have been sacked by any normal board rather than the clowns leading yours club.
1) The last charts show how many more chances Setien's tactics provided to Messi compared to EV's tactics.
Messi was saving EV' ass time and time again with outstanding finishing (making small chances into goals), something he did not do for Setien.
Consider if Messi under Setien was only at his xG (rather than below) Barca would have recouped maybe 6 points that would make the title race completely different at the end.
2) I never used any argument about 'style' and 'stylistical' improvement. I am talking about effectiveness. And effectiveness nowadays is measured by sophisticated football analytics, and not simply points accumulated
3) 'New coach' push is mainly a psychological factor, and usually it gets demonstrated in the surface and not in the underlying numbers.
Same with OGS. His underlying numbers for a long time were identical to Mou's . His players were finishing better, making minimal chances into goals, that they wouldnt make with Mou.
When the 'grace period' ended, results went were their expected results were
4) Totally agree that under normal board EV should have gone long time before.
I am not a Setienista. I rather wanna be fair to everyone, Setien included
Agree with the people above that Setien Vs EV is counterproductive given that board and players are to blame for what is happening now.
But this whole discussion got started by Valverdistas who wanna rewrite history to fit their narrative
Should I even bother to insert some logic here?
Barca and EV played 5 matches without Messi.
Bilbao 1:0
Osasuna 2:2
Granada 2:0, played in the 2nd half, hald time 1:0.
Suarez got injured in the first half of the first round against Bilbao, so Barca played without Messi for 5 rounds and without Messi-Suarez for 3 rounds.
Barca won 7 out of 18 points in the first 5 rounds.
And EV won 33 points in the next 14 matches.
10 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat.
Which is 2.36 points per game or 89.5 points estimated over 38 rounds.
So, with Messi, EV's team wasn't that bad results wise even in this season.
So, EV with Messi was heading towards a 89.5 point season.
While Setien with Messi was heading towards a 84 point season.
What a shock.
Barca without Messi = not EV's fault.
Barca with Messi = EV's credit
That's great logic..
By the way, point projection says nothing if is not backed with analytics that support it.